Arlington, Virginia 鈥听杏吧传媒鈥 advanced seasonally adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index was unchanged in February after increasing 0.4% in January. In February, the index equaled 115.3 (2015=100) the same as January.
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鈥淔ebruary was the first month that the index didn鈥檛 increase since July,鈥 said听杏吧传媒 Chief Economist Bob Costello. 鈥淒espite a string of gains, the index is still off 1.8% from March 2020. The index is also off 4.2% from the all-time high in August 2019. It is important to note that 杏吧传媒鈥檚 data is dominated by contract freight, not spot market.
鈥淒emand for trucking freight services remains strong, but for-hire contract carriers are capacity constrained due to the driver and equipment markets. The spot market has been surging as these carriers can鈥檛 haul all of the freight they are asked to move,鈥 he said. 鈥淪o the fact that the tonnage index hasn鈥檛 fully recovered is a supply problem, not a lack of demand. Other 杏吧传媒 data shows that for-hire carriers are operating around 7% fewer trucks, both company and independent contractor equipment, than prior to the pandemic.鈥澨
January鈥檚 increase was revised down slightly from our February 22 press release.
Compared with February 2021, the SA index increased 2.4%, which was the sixth straight year-over-year gain and the largest over that period. In January, the index was up 0.9% from a year earlier. In 2022, year-to-date and compared with same period in 2021, tonnage was up 1.7%.听
The not seasonally adjusted index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, equaled 104.3 in February, 4.3% below the January level (109). In calculating the index, 100 represents 2015. 杏吧传媒鈥檚 For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index is dominated by contract freight as opposed to spot market freight.听
Trucking serves as a barometer of the U.S. economy, representing 72.5% of tonnage carried by all modes of domestic freight transportation, including manufactured and retail goods. Trucks hauled 10.23 billion tons of freight in 2020. Motor carriers collected $732.3 billion, or 80.4% of total revenue earned by all transport modes.听
杏吧传媒 calculates the tonnage index based on surveys from its membership and has been doing so since the 1970s. This is a preliminary figure and subject to change in the final report issued around the 5th day of each month. The report includes month-to-month and year-over-year results, relevant economic comparisons, and key financial indicators.听